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Post by rmcalhoun on Feb 13, 2019 15:00:28 GMT -6
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Post by rmcalhoun on Feb 13, 2019 15:03:25 GMT -6
All the good stuff he says but when you look at Win projections its 4.3 which does fit about where I think its heading.. I gotta think Neu needs 6 to have a chance
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Post by cardfan on Feb 13, 2019 15:31:06 GMT -6
Yeah I think it’s 6 or bust for him
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Post by redbirdman on Feb 13, 2019 16:32:53 GMT -6
I say he can go 5-7 if one win is over IU.
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Post by cardfan on Feb 13, 2019 16:39:50 GMT -6
We aren’t coming within a mile of iu
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Post by 00hmh on Feb 13, 2019 16:58:30 GMT -6
All the good stuff he says but when you look at Win projections its 4.3 which does fit about where I think its heading.. I gotta think Neu needs 6 to have a chance I agree with this quote:
"I spend a lot of time talking.... about what FBS programs are
capable of and what they might be able to build. I enjoy watching how
coaches attempt to move their program forward, and I hate it when
extenuating circumstances — large swaths of injury, sanctions, etc. —
prevent them from executing their plan.
Over the last two seasons, we’ve barely been able to see Neu’s pla"I spend a lot of time talking.... about what FBS programs are capable of and what they might be able to build. I enjoy watching how coaches attempt to move their program forward, and I hate it when extenuating circumstances — large swaths of injury, sanctions, etc. — prevent them from executing their plan.
Over the last two seasons, we’ve barely been able to see Neu’s plan in action. We’ve seen through the years that despite the financial and geographical limitations that most MAC teams suffer, BSU is capable of pretty good football. "
The article surprises me a little. That cold objective computer projection of 4 wins makes it look like we are playing a murderers row. It's pretty early to think every MAC team we play is that good. So there is some reason not to be that pessimistic.
It's not that I am all that optimistic exactly, but he also correctly says we could win 6 or 7 games with a break, or two, or three or four.
This is BSU, I guess we should not be counting on good luck too much here.
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Post by rmcalhoun on Feb 13, 2019 17:00:37 GMT -6
After what we have seen lately I have no reason to think we can beat IU or even FAU.. Deff not beating NC State so Im looking at 1-3 non con. That means we have to win 5 MAC games.. Who are we beating? Its going to be a tough road.. We are going to need to be much improved.Healthy,lucky and the stars to align.
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Post by cardfan on Feb 13, 2019 17:12:44 GMT -6
After what we have seen lately I have no reason to think we can beat IU or even FAU.. Deff not beating NC State so Im looking at 1-3 non con. That means we have to win 5 MAC games.. Who are we beating? Its going to be a tough road.. We are going to need to be much improved.Healthy,lucky and the stars to align. Yep. |
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Post by Deleted on Feb 13, 2019 17:43:21 GMT -6
I really see no reason to not be pessimistic.
Every year I look to be surprised, and then.....I’m not.
It is best for all our mental health to expect the worst and then get our most satisfying entertainment from the “Muncie Person of the Year” thread.
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Post by BSU Card Fan in AZ on Feb 13, 2019 19:25:12 GMT -6
Hey, that’s the beauty of being a fan. Always should be optimistic until reality sets in (ok, not in this group). Aka, being a Cubs fan over the years.
Looking forward to next season for sure. Go Cards!
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Post by rmcalhoun on Feb 13, 2019 19:33:43 GMT -6
Hey, that’s the beauty of being a fan. Always should be optimistic until reality sets in (ok, not in this group). Aka, being a Cubs fan over the years. Looking forward to next season for sure. Go Cards! I am excited for football I have just found that if I fully expect to win only three games it makes winning four or even 5 feel like an accomplishment. Its the little things that get me by |
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Post by BSU Card Fan in AZ on Feb 13, 2019 19:48:14 GMT -6
Hey, that’s the beauty of being a fan. Always should be optimistic until reality sets in (ok, not in this group). Aka, being a Cubs fan over the years. Looking forward to next season for sure. Go Cards! I am excited for football I have just found that if I fully expect to win only three games it makes winning four or even 5 feel like an accomplishment. Its the little things that get me by Now there you go. Yes! |
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Post by david75bsu on Feb 13, 2019 20:00:11 GMT -6
4-8 this year is not acceptable!
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Post by rmcalhoun on Feb 13, 2019 20:01:41 GMT -6
4-8 this year is not acceptable! Not at all but I cant wrap my head around a way to get to 6 which is probably what Neu needs to stay. I cant find five wins |
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Post by 00hmh on Feb 13, 2019 20:11:24 GMT -6
4-8 this year is not acceptable! Not at all but I cant wrap my head around a way to get to 6 which is probably what Neu needs to stay. I cant find five wins 4.3 says the computer. So there must be a 30% chance based on their current data. But based on their assumptions it looks bad.
Do you think the schedule as listed in the article is as tough as they say? That would be a question. If so, we could be vastly improved and still not get more wins.
Is improvement or only the record the issue? If we are a top 100 team in power rating apart from wins, is that "satisfactory" progress?
How about if to get to 4 or 5 wins it was due to players who are young and we could project much better, a winning record the next year, would that make a difference?
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