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Post by rmcalhoun on Oct 19, 2019 20:09:50 GMT -6
Eastern helps us out and beats western.. Eastern did this with thier back up
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Emu WMU
Oct 19, 2019 20:11:42 GMT -6
Post by journalismjoe76 on Oct 19, 2019 20:11:42 GMT -6
It was a helluva drive at the end by EMU to take the lead and win.
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Emu WMU
Oct 19, 2019 20:14:19 GMT -6
Post by rmcalhoun on Oct 19, 2019 20:14:19 GMT -6
Western went into the prevent defense like we did last week... Gave up 3 10-15 yards plays quickly... Went out of prevent and the EMU qb dropped a dime over the top for a TD
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Emu WMU
Oct 19, 2019 20:15:54 GMT -6
via mobile
Post by chirpchirpnation on Oct 19, 2019 20:15:54 GMT -6
Western went into the prevent defense like we did last week... Gave up 3 10-15 yards plays quickly... Went out of prevent and the EMU qb dropped a dime over the top for a TD Exact same scenario....this time they got it. |
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Emu WMU
Oct 19, 2019 20:20:43 GMT -6
via mobile
Post by 00hmh on Oct 19, 2019 20:20:43 GMT -6
Very odd season.
This makes our win vs EMU look better.
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Emu WMU
Oct 19, 2019 20:22:46 GMT -6
Post by bsutony on Oct 19, 2019 20:22:46 GMT -6
WMU with 2 losses is big. Long way to go, but if we play like we have been I like our chances.
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Emu WMU
Oct 19, 2019 21:08:18 GMT -6
via mobile
Post by 00hmh on Oct 19, 2019 21:08:18 GMT -6
We have to win up there. A tough assignment.
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Emu WMU
Oct 19, 2019 21:16:31 GMT -6
via mobile
Post by BSU Card Fan in AZ on Oct 19, 2019 21:16:31 GMT -6
We have to win up there. A tough assignment. If we can handle Central (no gimmie) we can absorb a loss at Western providing we don’t collapse against the field. |
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Emu WMU
Oct 19, 2019 21:37:58 GMT -6
via mobile
Post by 00hmh on Oct 19, 2019 21:37:58 GMT -6
EMU really helped us. Still. It's not a collapse for us to lose 1 somewhere else.(Or 2!)
There is no game I see that we're big favorites. We should worry more about winning 2...
We lose @wmu and their schedule gives them the better chance to run the table.
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Post by rmcalhoun on Oct 19, 2019 21:50:58 GMT -6
EMU really helped us. Still. It's not a collapse for us to lose 1 somewhere else.(Or 2!) There is no game I see that we're big favorites. We should worry more about winning 2... We lose @wmu and their schedule gives them the better chance to run the table. Western has 2 mac west losses now. So if we can beat CMU we would be firmly in the drivers seat for the west |
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Emu WMU
Oct 19, 2019 22:21:10 GMT -6
via mobile
Post by 00hmh on Oct 19, 2019 22:21:10 GMT -6
Oh, I agree on the math, but we lose 2, including a loss to them...we are not a lock at all. And let's be real.
What is it, South of 50-50 we win 3 more? Favorites to win 2 more, assuming the curse looks the other way and nothing too BSUish happens. That would be 5-3.
I like this team and am elated. But, do not expect us to go 6-2 in the MAC.
WMU will have to hustle, but have real chances to lose only 1 the rest of the way. They beat us that's a tie breaker I'd guess.
Let's beat Ohio and then we'll talk about being in control. One game at a time. Every one an adventure?
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Post by cardfan on Oct 20, 2019 8:10:49 GMT -6
As excited as I am right now I also know we to temper things. OU can just as easily do to us as we did to UT. WE still have much to prove and improve.
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Emu WMU
Oct 20, 2019 8:27:30 GMT -6
via mobile
Post by rgmillikan on Oct 20, 2019 8:27:30 GMT -6
This game proved the MAC is very fluid week to week. I still think WMU is the West favorite but with a reduced margin.
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Emu WMU
Oct 20, 2019 9:26:43 GMT -6
Post by 00hmh on Oct 20, 2019 9:26:43 GMT -6
The conference is very balanced. 9 teams, each separated by at most 1 TD on their home field from the rest of the 9. We don't play the two doormats, and do play the one that is above the rest.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 20 MAC-EAST (A) = 56.14 54.81 ( 20) TEAMS= 6 55.44 ( 20) RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.52] [ 2.48] [ 2.55] [ 2.48] 93 Ohio A = 62.43 3 4 61.21( 110) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.59 92 | 62.69 94 | 59.57 107 MAC-EAST 106 Miami-Ohio A = 60.52 3 4 69.87( 49) 0 1 | 0 3 | 59.33 109 | 61.09 102 | 60.92 99 MAC-EAST 110 Buffalo A = 59.63 3 4 59.16( 118) 0 1 | 0 1 | 59.70 107 | 59.84 109 | 57.31 119 MAC-EAST 115 Kent State A = 58.41 3 4 66.59( 74) 0 2 | 0 2 | 58.66 112 | 58.21 116 | 57.92 116 MAC-EAST 159 Bowling Green A = 48.24 2 5 63.52( 86) 0 0 | 0 1 | 45.67 164 | 49.30 150 | 50.47 145 MAC-EAST 194 Akron A = 39.59 0 7 57.54( 121) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.91 192 | 40.03 192 | 34.25 218 MAC-EAST _______________________________________________________________________________________ 15 MAC-WEST (A) = 61.79 62.07 ( 15) TEAMS= 6 62.05 ( 15) RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.52] [ 2.48] [ 2.55] [ 2.48] 81 Western Michigan A = 66.12 4 4 62.60( 96) 0 0 | 0 1 | 66.76 78 | 65.96 81 | 63.99 90 MAC-WEST 91 Toledo A = 62.84 4 3 60.32( 114) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.67 91 | 63.78 88 | 57.23 120 MAC-WEST 98 Ball State A = 62.15 4 3 62.70( 95) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.07 95 | 61.45 100 | 66.20 80 MAC-WEST 104 Central Michigan A = 60.86 5 3 57.08( 122) 0 1 | 0 1 | 59.75 106 | 60.72 106 | 65.52 83 MAC-WEST 108 Northern Illinois A = 60.25 2 5 66.06( 76) 0 0 | 0 1 | 60.94 102 | 60.32 107 | 56.48 123 MAC-WEST 109 Eastern Michigan A = 60.19 4 3 61.61( 106) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.88 111 | 60.94 103 | 59.91 105 MAC-WEST _______________________________________________________________________________________
We are favorites in 5 games but less than a TD in each. Underdog against Western by a TD. Western favored in all their games, but not a lot on the road. Probably ends up 5-3 or 6-2.
Simulations would project us as about 50-50 to get to 6 wins. But on top of all that statistical magic, power ratings in FB not nearly as accurate as in BB with fewer games factored in and the FB scoring margin not nearly as discrete with a single play swinging the scoring by 7 points.
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Post by BSU Card Fan in AZ on Oct 20, 2019 9:42:27 GMT -6
As excited as I am right now I also know we to temper things. OU can just as easily do to us as we did to UT. WE still have much to prove and improve. Agree. I just like how we have taken advantage of some breaks and then took care of business against Toledo. That demonstrates a change. Our schedule is a tough one moving forward. It will be difficult to capture the West, but we at least are in a great position. If the guys truly believe and put forth the effort, who knows what can be accomplished. |
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