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Post by rmcalhoun on Aug 21, 2020 9:59:13 GMT -6
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Post by cardfan on Aug 21, 2020 10:08:35 GMT -6
round and round she goes, where she stops nobody knows. |
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Post by Lurkin McGurkin on Aug 21, 2020 10:17:34 GMT -6
This count is horribly inaccurate.
I know of 3 employees personally who have had it. I can't believe they are the only 3.
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Post by rmcalhoun on Aug 21, 2020 10:34:33 GMT -6
This count is horribly inaccurate. I know of 3 employees personally who have had it. I can't believe they are the only 3. Its all we have |
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Post by 00hmh on Aug 21, 2020 10:52:39 GMT -6
This count is horribly inaccurate. I know of 3 employees personally who have had it. I can't believe they are the only 3. It certainly doesn't mean much when there are so few tested right now. It doesn't say what test is being used, antibody or active virus. And it is restricted to Aug 17-present. So it might be accurate as far as it goes. Useful and meaningful, not yet. |
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Post by Lurkin McGurkin on Aug 21, 2020 11:06:17 GMT -6
Kind of like when polls call area codes with a known demographic, then extrapolate to arrive at the desired results.
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Post by bsutrack on Aug 21, 2020 13:13:03 GMT -6
Just to clarify, are these categories 100 to 500 active cases, or just positive tests spread over any time period? I would guess the latter, but if you reach 200 say in October and 195 of those are already recovered, I doubt if that would trigger a shutdown. I think it would be some number of concurrent cases. Just want to know before I make a guess
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Post by rmcalhoun on Aug 22, 2020 8:23:46 GMT -6
Initial outbreak lets say the first month or so
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Post by 00hmh on Aug 22, 2020 10:02:18 GMT -6
Initial outbreak lets say the first month or so The first month is probably going to show trends here, and be combined with the schools that have been in session longer. That's the good part.
If we can detect symptomatic cases it would show the results of early spread, but poorly. It would not generally show the whole story since especially with this age group asymptomatic disease is so common. Also death stats will be very hard to evaluate since that is fairly uncommon and also lag testing and early symptoms as do longer term health issues surfacing.
If we were doing testing more universally and doing contact tracing we'd get more bang for the buck in this lab experiment. The data will be poor.
What the administrators actually do with it is guesswork right now. I'd bet they will take their clue from places where more testing is done and do what the big boys elsewhere do.
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Post by rmcalhoun on Aug 23, 2020 18:02:32 GMT -6
We have an update
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Post by bsutrack on Aug 25, 2020 14:51:01 GMT -6
I went with 400 as that would be approximately 2% of the student population. Might say it's my 2 cents worth as the old saying goes.
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Post by bsutrack on Aug 25, 2020 14:59:35 GMT -6
What the administrators actually do with it is guesswork right now. I'd bet they will take their clue from places where more testing is done and do what the big boys elsewhere do.
Yep, you're spot-on with that call. |
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Post by rmcalhoun on Aug 25, 2020 15:08:04 GMT -6
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Post by rmcalhoun on Aug 25, 2020 15:14:57 GMT -6
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Post by bsutrack on Aug 25, 2020 17:32:01 GMT -6
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