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Post by williamtsherman on Jan 9, 2021 22:22:10 GMT -6
Any chance Eason will be good? The difference in the game today was minimal, but their QB was better than ours. Rivers is good enough to get you to the playoffs, but not good enough to win a super bowl. It takes an elite quarterback. I have 2 words for you: Trent Dilfer. It's been shown on a few occasions that you can win a super bowl with a mediocre QB, IF you have a historically great defense. Problem is, it's easier to find an elite QB than to put together a historically good defense. At any one time there might be 5 or 7 elite QB's in the league, while historically great defenses might come around once every 5 or 10 years. So, as hard as it is to find an elite QB, it's still the much easier route. The colt's defense is good, probably somewhere around #5 to #10 in the league, but they are a LONG way from historically great.
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Post by bsutony on Jan 9, 2021 23:06:55 GMT -6
Any chance Eason will be good? The difference in the game today was minimal, but their QB was better than ours. Rivers is good enough to get you to the playoffs, but not good enough to win a super bowl. It takes an elite quarterback. I have 2 words for you: Trent Dilfer. It's been a very long time since an average QB won a superbowl. It's a different game now.
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Post by chirpchirpcards on Jan 10, 2021 14:33:53 GMT -6
We'll never have a historically great defense with Eberflus running the "complete 26 of 35, 20 straight completions, middle wide open, 10-yard cushion, pray for turnovers, Cover-2" defense. Those teams that won via historic defenses blitzed, played man, put corners on islands, schemed, and had next-level defensive talent and playcalling. We've got some damn good talent on the defensive side, Buckner, Leonard, Willis, Rhodes, Blackmon, and when they can get it done, Houston and Turay on the edge. But the group lacks consistency, a true shutdown corner, and that hard-line playcalling that doesn't involve cowering in the corner saying "please don't fire me."
As for the QB position, I'm leaning toward the Colts picking up Matthew Stafford in the offseason, that or what I'd love to see, which is them unloading quite a bit to the Texans for Watson (who supposedly is looking at asking for a trade in the offseason)(Also why couldn't BoB still be there? The Colts could pick up Watson for a dishwasher, janitor, Danny Pinter, Dezmon Patmon, and Sherm). Other than those two outcomes, if the Colts trade for Wentz I'm gonna go ahead and check out for 3 seasons, if they run it back with Rivers I suspect a downgrade to 9-7 much more probable than an increase in win totals, and if they throw Eason out there it could be a literal crapshoot. He's got the zip to put balls anywhere on the field without having to rainbow them. He is mobile, at least more mobile than Rivers, so escapability is something that will have to at least be watched by the opposing team's defense. But can he make the decisions and does he have the accuracy needed to win games? That's the rub on a 4th round QB.
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Post by chirpchirpcards on Jan 10, 2021 14:36:24 GMT -6
I'm also no longer on the "Frank Reich is a world-class coach" train. He's made far too many mistakes, and has extremely questionable play calling and in-game personnel decisions.
I am forced to wonder, given that Sirriani installs the offensive gameplan but Reich calls the plays, is Sirriani the reason the Colts scored the second more points on the first drive of the game, and yet Frank is the reason why our offenses would falter in the second half? Once the play calling and personnel were in his hand later in the game, the offense seemed to stumble. There were too many times where he'd make an ill-advised playcall (i.e. 3rd down shovel pass, then going for it on 4th), or sit JT for an entire game after his lone fumble on the season.
He seems a great guy, but an average coach.
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Post by Lurkin McGurkin on Jan 10, 2021 15:44:38 GMT -6
Reich cost the Colts the game yesterday. Late in the first half he went for it on 4th and goal at the 3 when we just needed points. They had just lost 2 yards on 3rd and 1, so that was just stupid. Then the Bills take it the length of the field in a 2 minute drill.
Going for 2 when you're down 8, when you've already struggled to punch it in at the goal line, was an even worse call.
Reich cost them 4 points. The difference between winning and losing.
I don't mind being aggressive, but there's aggressive and there's foolish. Reich has been foolish way too much this season.
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Post by Lurkin McGurkin on Jan 10, 2021 15:47:35 GMT -6
I think Mac Jones is fine if your offensive line is absolutely physically dominate over all your opponents and you have the best receiver and running game at your level. He's not my favorits in this draft. I'd like to see us trade up to Miami's first pick. They got it from Houston. Just the chance to fuck over the Texans would be worth whatever it costs. I'm looking at Kyle Trask. Intriguing prospect. Not worth the number 3 pick, but if we stay where we are, definitely worth considering.
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Post by chirpchirpcards on Jan 10, 2021 17:51:47 GMT -6
I'm going to preface this with I know nothing, but I get a real strong Tim Tebow-esque vibe from watching Kyle Trask. He's got a long delivery, the delivery doesn't look effortless. None of this could mean anything and he could be the next all-world QB, I just don't see it myself.
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Post by chirpchirpcards on Jan 10, 2021 17:53:01 GMT -6
Reich cost the Colts the game yesterday. Late in the first half he went for it on 4th and goal at the 3 when we just needed points. They had just lost 2 yards on 3rd and 1, so that was just stupid. Then the Bills take it the length of the field in a 2 minute drill. Going for 2 when you're down 8, when you've already struggled to punch it in at the goal line, was an even worse call. Reich cost them 4 points. The difference between winning and losing. I don't mind being aggressive, but there's aggressive and there's foolish. Reich has been foolish way too much this season. Not on Reich but you can't forget the high-school level jump on 4th down that gave them a first down on route to that touchdown. Everyone just sits in their stance and they kick the field goal instead of going in for 7. Who knows how that changes the game. Otherwise, yes I agree, his play calling and decision making has been atrocious.
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Post by bsutony on Jan 10, 2021 18:42:30 GMT -6
Don't forget the challenge in the 2nd half that obviously wasn't going to be overturned. It would have been nice to have a timeout or more time on that last drive.
Reich is a pretty decent coach, but he makes some head scratching decisions.
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Post by williamtsherman on Jan 10, 2021 19:29:43 GMT -6
Any chance Eason will be good? The difference in the game today was minimal, but their QB was better than ours. Rivers is good enough to get you to the playoffs, but not good enough to win a super bowl. It takes an elite quarterback. I have 2 words for you: Trent Dilfer. Just looked it up by the way. The defense that carried Dilfer had 2 HOFers and 5 other pro bowlers. Let's just get the QB somewhere somehow
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Post by williamtsherman on Jan 12, 2021 13:26:55 GMT -6
Constanzo retires. So, lets review what the colts have as their best option at the sport's 5 most impactful positions:
QB - aging free agent, rented on the short term LT - retiring guy who was provided by the previous GM. #1 WR - aging player who is no longer in the top 40 receivers in the league in yardage and was provided by the previous GM, and is now a free agent. Edge - aging free agent, rented on the short term CB - aging free agent, rented on the short term
Maybe it wasn't such a good idea to have been using all the top draft capital on interior lineman and safeties?
As I have pointed out on many occasions, by the draft pick value equivalence charts, the colts could have had Calvin Ridley (#4 receiving yardage in the NFL) PLUS the #11 pick in the first round in exchange for the Quinten Nelson #6 pick. Yes the #6 pick is equal to the #26 pick plus the #11 pick. That's how much you paid for an OG. Of course, Nelson DOES wear paint on his face and yell sometimes....so, there's that.
And, oh by the way, the #7 pick was Josh Allen. ( Yes, I know we thought we had Luck at the time, but just saying)
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Post by bsutony on Jan 12, 2021 18:59:38 GMT -6
They should let T.Y. walk unless they get him for cheap. He hasn't been great for a few years.
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Post by williamtsherman on Jan 12, 2021 21:30:38 GMT -6
They should let T.Y. walk unless they get him for cheap. He hasn't been great for a few years. The classic GM mistake is to pay for past production, rather than a reasonable projection of production over the duration of the contract in question. We'll see.
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Post by williamtsherman on Feb 14, 2021 11:00:44 GMT -6
Wentz is an interesting possibility. It's easy enough to point to the negative factors (e.g. the 2020 NFL season), but you have to keep in mind that the colts are in a desperate situation with no really GOOD qb options. Wentz has to be measured against the other feasible options, not against some ideal fantasy option.
How many people are there on this planet under the age of 30 who have had anything like a 33 td 7 int season in the NFL? Depends on how strictly you apply that criterea, but somewhere in the neighborhood of 3 or 4 people....each of whom would cost the colts the entirety of their next ten drafts plus the title to the IMS.
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Post by 00hmh on Feb 14, 2021 11:21:10 GMT -6
They should let T.Y. walk unless they get him for cheap. He hasn't been great for a few years. The classic GM mistake is to pay for past production, rather than a reasonable projection of production over the duration of the contract in question. We'll see. Agree. If TY gets a good offer, they have excuse not to bid on him. If he gets a low offer elsewhere, maybe worth it to bid, very slightly over pay. Marketing move. Fan favorite. But that's a low priority, with some big contracts required. Cap space can go to extending good players or signing needed free agent.
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